Showing posts with label Football. Football Predictioins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Football. Football Predictioins. Show all posts

Monday, November 3, 2008

Monday Re-Cap

How about an SEC №1 team in the nation! Congratulations to Alabama on taking over the top spot in the poll also thanks and Congratulations to Texas Tech for knocking off the №1 Texas Longhorns. I trust everyone had a great weekend of college football, especially SEC football. The “Cocktail Party” is over now and I hope no-one had too bad of a hangover from it. Now that we are one game into the final third of the season the bowl picture is beginning to take shape and it should be exciting watching the final weeks of the season. So without any further adieu, let’s see how I did on this weeks picks.

Auburn 7 – Ole Miss 17: Hotty Toddy Reb fans! A couple of things happened Saturday at Vaught Hemingway Stadium. Number one, and the most important thing, we got a win. Two, that win was an SEC win at home. These are things that as Ole Miss fans we should be very proud of. This team is the best 4 loss team in the country in my opinion. Sophomore QB Jevan Snead started out slowly but got better as the game progressed, throwing 2 touchdown passes with no interceptions. I think Snead is learning humility in that when it isn’t there, don’t force it, sometimes a sack is the best thing that can happen. The stats in this game look very close, Auburn actually had more total yards than the Rebels but only by 21 yards (AU – 394 ; UM – 373). Ole Miss had the more balanced attack, splitting their yards up with 140 yards passing and 233 yards rushing. The key stat in this game is the turnovers. Auburn turned the ball over 3 times via the errant pass, once when the Tigers had the ball at the Rebel 17 yard line. The Ole Miss defense deserves all credit for this win. They have given up a ton of yards this season through the air but seem to find ways to stop the threat and give Snead and the offense another chance. Auburn never crossed the midfield stripe the entire first half and ended up with only 75 yards rushing. These Rebels have not been outclassed on the football field yet this year. Ole Miss is 5 – 0 when turning the ball over two or less times. One more win away from being bowl eligible, this Rebel squad has came a long way from last year, and this Rebel fan is proud of them.

Arkansas State 0 – Alabama 35: The Crimson Tide moves to 9 – 0 (5-0 SEC), and can clinch the SEC Western Division title next week with a win over LSU in Baton Rouge. As predicted Friday the Tide handled the Red Wolves of ASU with ease, never once being in danger of losing the game. Nick Saban said “We’re starting to develop that attitude of be as good as you can be, don’t play to your opponent…” I would sure say that the Tide didn’t play down to this opponent. Bama took their opening drive 89 yards and capped it off with a Glen Coffee touchdown run and the Tide never looked back. Glen Coffee sat out the second half with a bruised bicep but don’t worry Tide fans, he isn’t expected to miss any practice. The Crimson Tide defense even added a score as well on a 32 yard interception return by Rashad Johnson. The “Overlook Syndrome” was avoided and Bama was able to work on several parts of their game that will need to be firing on all cylinders come next weekend in Red Stick country. The Stats reflect the final score, showing a completely one sided affair. Their isn’t one single stat that doesn’t show 100% Crimson Tide domination. The Tide has to keep up this intensity, but their chances of getting to the BCS championship game are looking better and better week after week.

Tulsa 23 – Arkansas 30: The Razorbacks upset the № 19 team in the nation! Some may call it an upset anyway. I actually picked the Golden Hurricanes to win this one Friday and now I am kicking myself in the butt for that prediction. However I don’t see it as an upset victory in that, like I stated Friday, Tulsa hasn’t played any SEC quality opponents. I am not trying to take anything away from them, they are a good football team, I am just stating the obvious truth. The Razorback defense held the Golden Hurricanes to their lowest point total all year long; they had scored at least 37 points in all of their preceding contests. The stats in this one may mislead you. Tulsa ended up the day with 528 yards of offense. The R-Backs only had 435 total yards….ONLY…I would take that total any day. Both teams had outstanding aerial attacks (Ark. – 385 yds; Tul. – 344 yds.), but Tulsa was able to stop Michael Smith and the Razorback rushing attack, holding them to only 50 total rushing yards. Penalties and turnovers are the stats that hurt Tulsa’s bid to remain undefeated. They turned the ball over 3 times and were penalized 6 times for 57 yards. You have got to hand it to the Arkansas defense; they bent all day, but in the end preserved the victory.

Kentucky 14 – Mississippi State 13: The obvious two words that describe this SEC dual is “Defensive Struggle”. MSU has been offensively hampered all year, but I really thought that Kentucky would put up a little more of an offensive showing than this. In the end though, I predicted a Wildcat victory and that is what happened. I don’t want to sound as if the Bulldogs didn’t have a chance to win, they left points on the field in this one, missing a 27 yard field goal midway through the 4th quarter as well as having a PAT blocked; The latter proving to be the game winner for Kentucky. Defense and special teams, head coaches preach about them every week, well both teams had the defense part of this equation right and Kentucky made the special teams play that won the game. The stats in this game lean towards Mississippi state, albeit slightly, but the scoreboard is the one that counts the most.

Florida 49 – Georgia 10: I cannot speak for the rest of the country or for other SEC fans, but this game disappointing to me. You look at a Georgia team that was a pre-season №1, has one of the most talented running backs in the nation; the Bulldog quarterback is one of the most solid players in the SEC, possibly the country. One would have to think that this game would be whole lot tighter than this. I think all of the SEC nation knew going in that Tim Tebow and his entourage of talented teammates would be able to put up some points, but I surely thought Matthew Stafford coupled with Knowshon Moreno would be able to answer. Well at least I wasn’t wrong about the outcome, I thought the Gators would prevail and they did. Would someone please tell me why no one thinks Tim Tebow is on track for a second Heisman? In this installment of the “Cocktail Party” he only ran for 3 touchdowns and threw for 2 more. Bulldog quarterback: Matthew Stafford couldn’t seem to get his rhythm in this game though, credit the Gator “D” for that. Stafford threw for 265 yards but was only 18 for 33 (0.545 %) with 3 interceptions….NOT STAFFORDESQUE. The Gator defense also stopped cold, one of the nation’s most talented running back, Knowshon Moreno, with only 65 total yards. Believe or not, the Dawgs actually out gained Florida with 398 yards to the Gators 373 yards, but talk about a balanced attack. Florida had 188 yards passing with 185 rushing yards. The big stat is the 4 Georgia turnovers. Bulldog fans may be a little worried about Matthew Stafford who left the game late with an ankle injury, his x-rays were negative. Stafford was sacked twice as well which was a big factor in his interception woes. All in all I would say that the Gators got their revenge for last years loss and subsequent Georgia celebration.

Tennessee 6 – South Carolina 27: The Gamecocks are tired of losing to Tennessee! The Vols have always seemed to have South Carolina’s number, no matter how much talent either squad fielded. This SC victory is only the 4th victory over a UT team in 16 years. Gamecock freshmen QB: Stephen Garcia threw 2 touchdowns in this game and totally dominated the beleaguered Tennessee defense. The Volunteer offense didn’t fair well either against the SEC’s top rated defense. SC cornerback Stoney Woodson also had a 68 yard interception return for a touchdown to give the Gamecocks a defensive score as well. The stats in this one are not as whopsided as I had thought they would be the turnovers were probably the biggest stat that could have any reflection on the outcome. Tennessee had 3 turnovers including the before mentioned “Pick 6”. One other stat to mention just shows how anemic Fulmer’s offense is without David Cutcliffe, the Vols could only squeak out a meager 34 yards on the ground. This loss drops UT to 3 – 6 (1 - 5 SEC) on the season and out of bowl contention. It also just might be the final nail in the coffin for 17 year Tennessee head coach Phillip Fulmer. It kind of seems odd to me that a lot of Phil’s worst losses come at the hand of Steve Spurrier.

Tulane 10 – LSU 35: This was another disappointing game to me. I really thought LSU would build an early lead and then rest their starters. Most of the first half was a accented by very flat play from the Tigers. LSU came alive late in the second half though, scoring 2 touchdowns in 27 seconds. Tiger running back: Charles Scott had another huge rushing outing, gaining 114 yards. 84 yards of his total came on the very first LSU possession. Still, LSU fans have got to be happy that their team didn’t fall victim of looking ahead to next weekends SEC west showdown between the Tigers and division leading Alabama. The stats pretty much tell the same story as the scoreboard. LSU won them too….oh was that too obvious? One stat I think LSU fans will like was the Tiger’s 50% conversion ratio on 3rd down. They will have to be able to convert those next weekend as Alabama can play some very stingy defense.

Well that’s it for this past weekend’s action. This has been one of my best weeks at picking the winners, finishing up at 6 – 1, but I was little off on the particulars. I will apologize to the Razorback fans for not picking them or I could’ve been 7 – 0 this weekend. What kind of SEC fan am I that I picked out of the conference? I will be back on Wednesday for my editorial as usual. My topic for that editorial just might cause some people to ponder my sanity, certainly wouldn’t be the first time that has happened. Until then….Hotty Toddy

Darryle “Speedy” Clark

Friday, October 31, 2008

Friday SEC Pick-Em








Hello out there in SEC Nation. Here it is Friday again and time for another round of SEC Pick-Em. We have a lot of games this weekend with only Vandy having the week off. One game in particular has National Championship implications. So Nation! Are we ready to play Pick-Em?….Ready Break!

Auburn versus Ole Miss: The Rebels were able to hold on and pull out an SEC victory on the road last weekend against the Arkansas Razorbacks. Playing well on the road has not been the Rebel’s problem this year. Good games against Wake Forest & Bama coupled with wins against Florida and Arkansas, all were on the road. It is the home field that the Rebels cannot protect. There the Reb’s seem to hand the games over on a silver platter to the opposing team. Make no mistake Reb fans, Auburn may be struggling this year but they are a very capable football team. We may not like him but they are well coached, especially on defense. I’ve heard a lot of rumblings about Tubby being fired, but I don’t want to report on rumors. The Tigers have a good running back in Junior Ben Tate. Tubba-BS-Ville has also alternated between two QB’s all season so it makes it hard for Ole Miss to prepare defensively. On the offensive front; Ole Miss will have to figure out a way to move the football against a very stingy defense. AU’s “D” is ranked 5th in the SEC in total defense and 4th in the SEC against the pass. Will the “Wild Rebel” loosen up that great secondary? I would love to see The Rebels pass more out of that formation but the passes will have to be complete. Every time McCluster throws from it this year it seems he is either intercepted or the pass falls harmlessly to the ground. This means the corners can ignore their assignments and come up and make a play on the runner. That brings me to McCluster: He is such an exceptional and exciting athlete, but dangit, he has got to hold on to the ball. I don’t think anyone on Auburns “D” will try to tackle him this weekend; they will go straight for the ball. They’re a lot of variables in this one that should make for an entertaining game. I will pick my Rebels to win this game but it will be a tight one.

Arkansas State versus Alabama: Alabama is already warming up for an SEC Western division title, but I sure hope they can keep their minds on the Indians of Arkansas State this weekend. ASU has a very competent QB in Junior Corey Leonard and a very talented running back in Jahbari McLennan. Alabama is coming off a solid victory over the Tennessee Volunteers and has a game against LSU coming up next week; the Tide should beware of the “Overlook Syndrome”. We all know what I am talking about so I won’t explain it. Alabama really needs to come out and take control of this game early on, build a big lead and let some of their younger players get some game experience in the second half. I believe they will do this too, but ASU isn’t a high school. The Tide will have to play fundamentally sound football so there won’t be any surprises in T-Town. I think Bama takes care of this one big, because the Pachyderm are on a mission that will take them to Atlanta; No Indians (Correction: Red Wolves)are going to be able to stop them.

Tulsa versus Arkansas: Coming off a hard fought home loss to Ole Miss the Razorbacks are not going to get any rest this weekend either. Tulsa is nationally ranked at № 19 in the nation in the AP Poll (№ 18 BCS) and they are coming off of a 49 – 19 shellacking of Central Florida this past Sunday. They have a very good quarterback in David Johnson who threw for 264 yards with a touchdown against UCF. Johnson ran in two TD’s in that game as well, so he is a threat to bolt on you. Defensively, Tulsa has a fumble forcing machine in a kid named Malcolm Sheppard. He can cause problems for Razorback QB Casey Dick all day long by getting in his face, batting down passes, and intercepting them as well. I don’t want to count the Hogs out of it yet though. Running back Michael Smith leads the SEC in rushing yards and Casey Dick is 2nd in the conference in passing. Looking at Tulsa’s schedule, I am not really seeing SEC quality teams, but you know what? They are undefeated and most are run-away victories. Boy I hate to pick outside the conference. I would rather take a walk through hell with gasoline drawers on than to do that, but I have to pick Tulsa to win this one. The Razorbacks just aren’t firing on all cylinders this year.

Kentucky versus Mississippi State: After a great 2007 season, Mississippi State is just struggling to find a groove this year. The Dogs have been anemic on offense and other than Auburn (Another anemic offense); have had a hard time keeping the opposition out of the end zone. The Kentucky Wildcats are not fairing much better either. They had a great start, opening up with 4 consecutive wins, but then came the SEC schedule; Losing to Bama & South Carolina before bouncing back in a come from behind victory over Arkansas. The Cats are still 5 – 3 with only 1 SEC win. Their last outing was a dismal contest as the homecoming victim of the Florida Gators. There are reasons to pick both teams, I wont list them all, but I am just going to go with my gut and pick Kentucky to win this one on the road in Starkville.

Florida versus Georgia: Here it is SEC Nation! The Worlds Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. These two teams look forward to this game every year, and so does SEC fans. This time both squads are ranked inside the top 10 in the nation. What a showdown this promises to be. The AP has Florida ranked higher than Georgia but that is reversed in the BCS standings. Whatever the rankings…it doesn’t matter! Florida has the best SEC player on their team…..The best! I know that is just my opinion but to me; Tim Tebow is worth two touchdowns. The Gators have all the weapons they need to win the SEC and make a run for the National Championship. Since losing to Ole Miss, Florida has been on a mission to silence the Nay Sayers. Likewise for Georgia; since losing to Bama, they have bounced back to National Championship contender status as well. The Dawgs have all it takes to win the conference too. I do have reservations with Georgia resulting from some flat play following the Alabama loss, what I call “Get By” football, but the offense came back roaring against LSU. The Georgia defense allowed too many points though in the LSU game. If LSU can score like that on you? Then who knows how many points the Tebow led crew of Gators can turn in. On paper this game has the recipe for a high scoring affair, with two very good offensive squads. So many times though when someone says it will be a high scoring game, it turns out to be a defensive struggle. We shall see, and I am looking forward to it. I am going to pick Florida to win this game.

Tennessee versus South Carolina: The Vol’s are having the worst year that I believe I have ever seen them have. Losing David Cutcliffe to the head coaching ranks again has not helped UT offensively, that’s for sure. Lack of a sure-fire SEC quarterback is another factor as well. On the QB front though; Nick Stephens is starting to come around. Stephens has started 4 games now and has a .633 completion percentage at a clip of a little over 13.5 yards per completion. Another tidbit is that he hasn’t thrown an interception while amassing these numbers. South Carolina Head Coach: Steve Spurrier has decided to go with Stephen Garcia as his starting QB Saturday; this will be Garcia’s second start of the year, in his first start he threw for 215 yards and a touchdown against LSU. The Gamecock defense is playing tough as well so in my humble opinion that should make the Gamecocks the favorites in this match up. Some more interesting news to me is Phil Fulmer defending his resume earlier this week with the Tennessee faithful. Why would he do that unless he is getting scared? Just a thought. I will take South Carolina to win this one.

Tulane versus LSU: Like I stated in my Alabama preview, LSU has got to beware of the “Overlook Syndrome”. It would be very easy for the Tigers to look further down the road towards their November 8th contest with the Tide. Also unclear is the status of backup quarterback: Andrew Hatch! He has still gotten considerable game time in sort of a platoon type roll since losing his starting position to Jarrett Lee after the 3rd game. Hatch is suffering from a leg injury. Tulane has some C-USA stat leaders on their squad among which are running back Andre Anderson, who is averaging a little over 123 yards a game. Still I don’t see the Green Wave having enough weapons and depth to beat LSU in Tiger Stadium. I am picking LSU to basically do what I predict Bama to do: Build a big lead early and then rest up key players as well as get experience for the younger ones. LSU wins big!

Well that’s it for this week’s edition of SEC Pick-EM. I am looking forward to all these games and coming back on Monday to re-cap them with the SEC Nation. Until then…….Hotty Toddy

Darryle “Speedy” Clark